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2026-W13 Weekly Summary

Week: 2026-03-23 to 2026-03-29 Source: futu-pw-20260330

Key Events

  • US+Israel strikes on Iran steel plants and power facilities, escalation continues
  • Brent oil crosses $110, highest since 2022
  • 10Y Treasury yield hits 4.48% (highest since Jul 2025)
  • Trump announces 10-day pause on Iran energy infrastructure attacks until Apr 6
  • DXY above 100 → stagflation regime
  • China 1-2M industrial profits +15.2% YoY (strong), but oil cost pressure ahead
  • Computer/electronics manufacturing profit +2x YoY, non-ferrous +1.5x

Market Data

  • SPX PE: 20.0

Strategy

  • Defensive, energy/materials/utilities preferred, tech needs oil decline to recover
  • SPX year-end target revised down to ~7000

关联: concepts/oil-inflation-rate-chain entities/gold